After a discussion about the CONMEBOL predictions (which I'll post shortly) on a message board, I discovered a programming problem that made some of my predictions off. When I gave individual match predictions they were correct as I just used the spreadsheet directly, but the simulations were off. That meant that qualification percentages, for automatic or the playoff, were incorrect. The MLS article used a different version of the program that was correct, this applies only to the WCQ articles.
In the future I will put more effort into testing a new program when I change models. I am sure that the version I am now using is correct, so my predictions for Wednesday will be fine.
My apologies.
The Athletic
5 years ago
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