Monday, November 2, 2009

Premier League Rankings - 2 November

I'm going to go quite short this week and mainly just post the rankings. I'm working on a follow-up article on corners and I want to focus on that.

Not a lot of changes this week as the outcomes weren't far off from the expectations of the model. Liverpool dropped a spot while Fulham moved up 2 when Fulham got the 3-1 win at Craven Cottage. Liverpool are certainly looking like the favorite to throw off my prediction that the big four would all be in the race at the new-year break. At the other end of the table, the biggest mover was Portsmouth moving up 5 spots and 15 expected goals in goal difference due to stuffing Wigan 4-0. The (wait, do Portsmouth have a nickname?) are now just 3 points from getting out of the relegation zone and that battle looks like it could be good this year. With Portsmouth's attack moving out of the cellar, Hull have a stranglehold on the bottom position in the rankings as they rate the worst both scoring and defending. It's pretty telling that Burnley moved down in the rankings after beating them 2-0. In fairness, that's due to other results since Burnley's expected goal differential actually went up slightly.

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