Here are the numbers for the other matches. Keep in mind that the model does not take into account injuries and only uses goals so these numbers are just a rough guide. As I've said several times, I think the model overrates Arsenal particularly as they've been running white hot when it comes to scoring goals.
Aston Villa - Bolton
Villa - 66%
Draw - 22%
Bolton - 12%
Blackburn - Portsmouth
Blackburn - 48%
Draw - 29%
Portsmouth - 23%
Man City - Burnley
Man City - 74%
Draw - 18%
Burnley - 8%
Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland
Spurs - 63%
Draw - 22%
Sunderland - 15%
Wolverhampton - Arsenal
Wolves - 11%
Draw - 20%
Arsenal - 69%
Hull City - Stoke City
Hull - 34%
Draw - 31%
Stoke - 35%
West Ham - Everton
West Ham - 57%
Draw - 25%
Everton - 18%
Wigan - Fulham
Wigan - 38%
Draw - 30%
Fulham - 32%
Liverpool - Birmingham
Liverpool - 62%
Draw - 24%
Birmingham - 14%
The Athletic
5 years ago
Hi,
ReplyDeleteI stumbled onto this site randomly and I thought the analysis is very interesting. I'm a soccer fan and I watch the EPL mostly. I'm also an undergraduate majoring in Statistics at the moment. Thus most of the regression/plots makes some sense to me. Just wondering, are you a student or a working professional?
Relf
Sorry forgot to respond to this earlier.
ReplyDeleteI'm a grad student in Economics.
Thanks for reading and the comment.