Friday, November 6, 2009

Other EPL Predictions

Here are the numbers for the other matches. Keep in mind that the model does not take into account injuries and only uses goals so these numbers are just a rough guide. As I've said several times, I think the model overrates Arsenal particularly as they've been running white hot when it comes to scoring goals.

Aston Villa - Bolton
Villa - 66%
Draw - 22%
Bolton - 12%

Blackburn - Portsmouth
Blackburn - 48%
Draw - 29%
Portsmouth - 23%

Man City - Burnley
Man City - 74%
Draw - 18%
Burnley - 8%

Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland
Spurs - 63%
Draw - 22%
Sunderland - 15%

Wolverhampton - Arsenal
Wolves - 11%
Draw - 20%
Arsenal - 69%

Hull City - Stoke City
Hull - 34%
Draw - 31%
Stoke - 35%

West Ham - Everton
West Ham - 57%
Draw - 25%
Everton - 18%

Wigan - Fulham
Wigan - 38%
Draw - 30%
Fulham - 32%

Liverpool - Birmingham
Liverpool - 62%
Draw - 24%
Birmingham - 14%

2 comments:

  1. Hi,

    I stumbled onto this site randomly and I thought the analysis is very interesting. I'm a soccer fan and I watch the EPL mostly. I'm also an undergraduate majoring in Statistics at the moment. Thus most of the regression/plots makes some sense to me. Just wondering, are you a student or a working professional?

    Relf

    ReplyDelete
  2. Sorry forgot to respond to this earlier.

    I'm a grad student in Economics.

    Thanks for reading and the comment.

    ReplyDelete